Agent Based Modeling and Adaptation to Climate Change

Adaptation to Climate Change

We investigate the effect of climate change on population growth in 18th and 19th century Iceland. We find that annual temperature changes help determine the population growth rate in preindustrial Iceland: a year 1◦C cooler than average drives down population growth rates by 0.57% in each of the next two years, for a total effect of 1.14%. We also find that 18th and 19th century Icelanders ada...

Climate Change and Adaptation

Adaptation and Climate Change

This paper deals with the often ignored issue of adaptation to human-induced climate change. Adaptation is not only inevitable but essential to fashioning the least-social-cost strategy to addressing climate change. The urgency for limiting climate change is inversely proportional to society's adaptability. Some limitation strategies are incompatible with adaptation goals (e.g., reducing CO2 ra...

Agent Based Software System to Support Exploration of Climate Change Adaptation

This document is a progress report for the project titled “Agent Based SW System to support exploration of Climate Change Adaptation”. It addresses the period 23 March 2009 until 23 June 2009. This report outlines work relevant to Deliverable 1: Framework Design and Implementation. It also highlights some exploratory work related to future stages of the project. 1 Deliverable 1: Framework We ha...

Agent-Based Modelling of Socio-Ecosystems: A Methodology for the Analysis of Adaptation to Climate Change

The integrated—environmental, economic and social—analysis of climate change calls for a paradigm shift as it is fundamentally a problem of complex, bottom-up and multi-agent human behaviour. There is a growing awareness that global environmental change dynamics and the related socio-economic implications involve a degree of complexity that requires an innovative modelling of combined social an...